{"id":426,"date":"2025-09-02T13:39:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:39:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/?p=426"},"modified":"2025-09-02T13:39:44","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:39:44","slug":"democrats-are-slowly-waking-up-to-their-generational-issues","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/democrats-are-slowly-waking-up-to-their-generational-issues\/","title":{"rendered":"Democrats are slowly waking up to their generational issues"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/catalog.archives.gov\/id\/76643297\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1671\" src=\"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/607674_0294-2048x1671.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-427\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/607674_0294-2048x1671.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/607674_0294-300x245.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/607674_0294-768x627.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/607674_0294-1536x1253.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Rep. Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) isn&#8217;t planning to run for reelection. Among the reasons he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/09\/01\/nyregion\/jerrold-nadler-congress-retires.html\">offered the New York Times<\/a> was that &#8220;[w]atching the Biden thing&#8221; \u2014\u00a0presumably meaning the focus placed on the former president&#8217;s age and capacity \u2014 &#8220;really said something about the necessity for generational change in the party, and I think I want to respect that.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OK, sure. But, meaning no disrespect to Nadler, come on. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nadler has been in the House for more than three decades. He was of traditional retirement age before &#8220;Frozen&#8221; was released. It&#8217;s a bit hard to believe that his retirement now is centrally about meeting the needs of the Democratic base when the visible demand for generational change within the party is itself years old. I mean, Biden in 2020 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2020\/03\/09\/politics\/joe-biden-bridge-new-generation-of-leaders\">called himself a &#8220;bridge&#8221;<\/a> to a new generation of Democratic politicians!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbump.com\/\">My book about the generational divide in the U.S.<\/a> came out more than two years ago, but I started writing it more than two years before that. While the Biden presidency issue served as the most acute example of generational tension, the tension both preceded and followed that period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/voteview.com\/\">Data from VoteView<\/a> suggests that, at the end of the current, 119th Congress, the average age of those who served in the House in 2025 and 2026 will be 59.1 years. That&#8217;s slightly higher than a decade ago and nearly two years higher than the average 20 years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe title=\"Average age of members of the House\" aria-label=\"Line chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-6WJO5\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6WJO5\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"564\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}})}();\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<p>You can see that the average age in the House began to swing upward in about 1996 (indicated by the vertical line). On the Senate side, the upward push began earlier, in 1982. The average age of those who served in the 119th Senate will be 65.2 years at the end of next year \u2014 right at the traditional retirement age.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe title=\"Average age of members of the Senate\" aria-label=\"Line chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-xVew3\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/xVew3\/3\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"564\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}})}();\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<p>This upward push mirrors the aging of the population overall. Members of the baby boom (generally defined as those born from 1946 to 1964) are aged 61 to 79. They pushed average ages downward in the 1980s and 1990s as they got elected to Congress. They&#8217;ve been a central part of why those ages have increased steadily since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the House in particular, there&#8217;s been a big difference in the average ages of Democrats and Republicans. In the Senate, those averages have moved in concert over the past few decades. In the House, a big gap emerged beginning in the Tea Party era.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe title=\"Average age of party membership in Congress\" aria-label=\"Line chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-K6jPB\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/K6jPB\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"544\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}})}();\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<p>For the congress that ended 2012, the average age of Democrats who&#8217;d served was more than five years higher than the average for House Republicans. (Nadler, at the time, had just turned 65.) It has since gotten better, but House (and Senate) Democrats are still older on average than Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe title=\"How much older congressional Democrats are than Republicans\" aria-label=\"Line chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-kAUGO\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/kAUGO\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"564\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}})}();\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<p>This is particularly a problem for them because the Democratic Party is more dependent on votes from younger Americans. Those younger Americans are also less likely to be members of either political party than are older people; it is not hard to imagine that a lack of national representation of young people is helping <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/2025\/03\/17\/democratic-party-generational-tension\/\">drive indifference to the party as an institution<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even today, more than 4 in 10 members of the House \u2014\u00a0and nearly two-thirds of the Senate! \u2014\u00a0are members of the baby boom generation or older. About 1 in 6 House Democrats are millennials or younger (using <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2019\/01\/17\/where-millennials-end-and-generation-z-begins\/\">Pew Research Center&#8217;s definitions<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe title=\"Congressional membership by generation\" aria-label=\"Stacked Bars\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-GQ0Od\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/GQ0Od\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"3133\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}})}();\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<p>Only a handful of senators from either party are millennials or younger, a generational group that included <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/data\/tables\/time-series\/demo\/popest\/2020s-national-detail.html\">more than half of the population in 2024<\/a>. Maybe they should have some representation!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nadler, incidentally, is not a baby boomer. He&#8217;s a member of the silent generation, the generation that preceded the boom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Photo: The first baby born in 1959, supposedly. (National Archives)<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rep. Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) isn&#8217;t planning to run for reelection. Among the reasons he offered the New York Times was that &#8220;[w]atching the Biden thing&#8221; \u2014\u00a0presumably meaning the focus placed on the former president&#8217;s age and capacity \u2014 &#8220;really said something about the necessity for generational change in the party,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":427,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-426","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/426","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=426"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/426\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":429,"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/426\/revisions\/429"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/427"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=426"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=426"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=426"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}