{"id":1111,"date":"2025-11-06T13:45:28","date_gmt":"2025-11-06T18:45:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/?p=1111"},"modified":"2025-11-06T13:45:28","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T18:45:28","slug":"tuesday-and-the-anti-trump-republicans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pbump.net\/o\/tuesday-and-the-anti-trump-republicans\/","title":{"rendered":"Tuesday and the anti-Trump Republicans"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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As I mentioned earlier this week<\/a>, the poll numbers I’m paying the closest attention to at the moment are those showing President Trump’s support softening among Republicans (as opposed to the idea that his support is “collapsing” or “cratering” or whatever other descriptor is most effective at getting people to click links on social media). After all, Trump’s power relies heavily on Republican legislators sticking with him, something they do in large part because they’re afraid of his supporters. But if his supporters start to become indifferent? The dynamics shift.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Thursday, the New York Times’s Nate Cohn noted<\/a> a possible manifestation of that softening. In statewide races this week, exit polls showed that a chunk of people who said they voted for Trump last year decided this year to vote for the Democrat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That is true. Exit polls published by CNN<\/a> from California (where there was a statewide ballot proposition), New Jersey and Virginia (both of which had gubernatorial races) show defections among voters for both major-party candidates last year \u2014\u00a0but bigger shifts among Trump voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In California, 5 percent of Kamala Harris voters opposed Prop 50, a measure centered specifically on countering a Trump-backed Republican power grab. But 12 percent of 2024 Trump voters backed the measure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n