Wed, 8:51 pm

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p-bu.mp/15or

You may have heard that today was Trump's heaviest day on Twitter as president. It almost matched his heaviest day ever, which was also spent sharing other people's thoughts about stuff they were watching on TV.


Wed, 4:49 pm

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p-bu.mp/15oq

With the Democratic impeachment argument underway, Trump's social media allies are offering a mostly-misleading counternarrative.


Wed, 1:01 pm

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p-bu.mp/15op

Republican senators, Tuesday: We don't need to allow more evidence.

Trump, Wednesday: Man, the Dems haven't even seen the material we've got.


Wed, 11:40 am

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p-bu.mp/15oo

Trump says that his victory in 2016 was a function of Clinton's unpopularity. He's sort of right and sort of wrong " but apparently not worried about the irony of blithely pointing to that factor.


Wed, 10:15 am

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p-bu.mp/15on

CNN's new poll shows a surge for Sanders, which is good timing. What the data suggest more broadly, though, is a very uncertain Democratic field.


Tuesday

Tue, 4:30 pm

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p-bu.mp/15om

Trump's affection for performative defenses framed in political terms will leave him pleased with how his lawyers kicked off his impeachment trial.


Tue, 2:02 pm

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p-bu.mp/15ol

Some Democrats hope that Roberts might try and wrest control of the Senate trial from McConnell. Unlikely for several reasons, including the limits on his power.


Tue, 1:06 pm

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p-bu.mp/15ok

A new poll shows broad support for calling witnesses in the Senate trial " but really shows the same broad divide on impeachment that's been there since day one.


Tue, 9:58 am

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p-bu.mp/15oj

Imagine a criminal trial in which half the jury was friends with the accused, the accused could ignore subpoenas and if evidence emerged after the indictment it wasn't admissible.


Friday

Fri, 4:39 pm

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p-bu.mp/15oi

I decided to use closed-captioning and chyron data to figure out which story made the cable news networks more, Vince Vaughn or Lev Parnas. And guess what.


Fri, 2:34 pm

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p-bu.mp/15oh

Went through each of the Dem debates to see what states they talked about the most. Their home states, sure " but also Iowa Iowa Iowa.


Fri, 12:03 pm

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p-bu.mp/15og

Our new poll showing the robust opposition to Trump among black voters " paired with his claim that black voters were rushing to become Republicans " prompted me to look at a *lot* of data about registration and voting patterns.


Thursday

Jan 16, 5:19 pm

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p-bu.mp/15of

I suspect it's not a coincidence that there's so little evidence of Trump getting his hands dirty on Ukraine.


Jan 16, 2:46 pm

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p-bu.mp/15oe

So here's something a little different.

A few days ago I came across an image of sheet music from 1868 called "Impeachment Polka," focused on the impeachment of Andrew Johnson. Dug into it a bit, talked to some folks " and found a pianist to perform it.


Jan 16, 12:24 pm

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p-bu.mp/15od

With the GAO finding, it's worth walking through what we already knew about the halt in aid to Ukraine.


Jan 16, 10:55 am

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p-bu.mp/15oc

With all of the new revelations from Parnas, I thought it was worth walking through the cast of characters " or, at least, a subset of them.


Wednesday

Jan 15, 3:14 pm

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p-bu.mp/15ob

The new documents from Parnas give us a much clearer sense of how " and why " Yovanovitch was targeted for removal.


Jan 15, 10:45 am

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p-bu.mp/15oa

There are a lot of fascinating details in the handwritten notes Lev Parnas provided to House investigators. I walked through their apparent significance.


Tuesday

Jan 14, 8:22 pm

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p-bu.mp/15o9

The debate starts shortly but there's important new impeachment details: More evidence that Giuliani's Ukraine efforts were for Trump's personal benefit.


Jan 14, 5:52 pm

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p-bu.mp/15o8

If you hear "cancel culture" on cable news, guess which network you were most likely to have heard it on.


Jan 14, 2:30 pm

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p-bu.mp/15o7

Since it's an election year, maybe Trump will start paying lip service to deficit spending again.


Jan 14, 11:48 am

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p-bu.mp/15o6

New Quinnipiac polling reinforces trends shown in poll averages: Biden and Sanders have more solid bases than Warren. But unlike the GOP 2016 contest, that's not necessarily as useful for the Democrats.


Jan 14, 9:48 am

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p-bu.mp/15o5

If anyone can beat Trump, a woman can beat Trump.


Monday

Jan 13, 8:05 pm

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p-bu.mp/15o4

The most checked-out books in the history of the New York Public Library.


Jan 13, 5:31 pm

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p-bu.mp/15o3

Tom Steyer's congressional term-limit proposal might have the effect of pushing Democrats to the middle and Republicans to the right.


Jan 13, 3:02 pm

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p-bu.mp/15o2

Curious who will win Iowa? Good news: Two new polls have the answer.

No one knows.


Jan 13, 11:35 am

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p-bu.mp/15o1

Trump wants to present the Soleimani strike as a response to an imminent threat for political and legal reasons. New reporting significantly undercuts the case " or, at least, the political one.


Jan 13, 9:22 am

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p-bu.mp/15o0

The thing I think is interesting about the White House "first snow" tweet is how it does the opposite of what Trump's long tried to do when he tweets about the weather.


Friday

Jan 10, 5:01 pm

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p-bu.mp/15nz

Setting aside October, when the GM strike temporarily pushed manufacturing lower, the density of manufacturing jobs in December was at its lowest point on record.


Jan 10, 3:36 pm

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p-bu.mp/15ny

I made a map after 2016 showing margins of victory that revealed an interesting phenomenon. Finally actually wrote it up.


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