Thu, 5:07 pm

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The GDELT Project, which makes analysis tools for the Internet Archive's big database of cable-news closed-captioning has a new tool showing which shows talked about which subjects most often.

So I plugged in some of Trump's favorite topics.


Thu, 3:12 pm

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An average of four polls released this week show Trump shows Trump doing 25 points worse with college-educated whites against Biden than he did in 2016 exits. Among non-college whites, he does 17 points worse.


Thu, 1:41 pm

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Pulled data since March 1 on the daily change in confirmed coronavirus cases, deaths and tests nationally and by state. Then I made a way for you to compare the numbers.


Thu, 10:42 am

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The downward revision of estimated death tolls in a leading model has spurred a lot of "the distancing measures went too far!" rhetoric. Here's why the model changed and why experts still strongly support the need for continued distancing.


Wednesday

Wed, 5:36 pm

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One of the metrics I find most interesting is how voters who dislike both candidates plan to vote.

A new Quinnipiac poll gives Biden a 32-point advantage with them. (Trump won them by 17 in 2016.)


Wed, 4:40 pm

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House Oversight got a document detailing which states got what coronavirus supplies. It doesn't suggest that pro-Trump states got more when considering how confirmed cases are distributed.


Wed, 2:05 pm

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Lots of caveats to polling this far out, but for those curious: Biden's entering the general performing about as well as Clinton was in 2016 relative to Trump.


Wed, 11:36 am

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After years of untrue claims about in-person voter fraud, Trump turns his attention to mail balloting, using the same arguments for the same reason.


Wed, 10:27 am

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The IHME model revised its estimate of the death toll of covid-19 down significantly. Good news! But news that carries with it a number of warnings.


Tuesday

Tue, 4:07 pm

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Trump on Tuesday called the handling of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic a "debacle" ‚Ä"¬†despite as many recorded deaths in two months from covid-19 as were ultimately estimated to have resulted from the pandemic that year.


Tue, 2:43 pm

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Coronavirus infection and death data from eight states show a consistent pattern: blacks are overrepresented in the case totals.


Tue, 11:25 am

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Trump critics seized on the Times story about his promotion of hydroxychloroquine as a smoking gun proving he was motivated by making money.

It isn't.


Tue, 9:54 am

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Peter Navarro's memos about coronavirus weren't hugely predictive and come at a politically useful time for him. But they are nonetheless exceptional as reflecting reality in an administration that's often tried to avoid that reality.


Monday

Mon, 5:28 pm

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New York is the epicenter of coronavirus cases, but there are clusters of per-capita cases around the country.


Mon, 2:42 pm

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Trump and Birx both offered assessments of risk to states with low numbers of coronavirus cases that seem at odds with where things are headed.


Mon, 10:20 am

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Why is Trump hyping unproven coronavirus treatments?

It lets him contrast his gut with expert opinions.

It has a big upside ("I was right!") with a small downside (ignoring that he was wrong).

And, by now, it's part of the political culture war.


Sunday

Sun, 10:49 am

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The coronavirus pandemic is a unique crisis for Trump. His political response, though? Same as always.


Friday

Apr 3, 5:27 pm

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Made a grim little interactive showing the rate of deaths from coronavirus over the past few weeks and projections looking forward.


Apr 3, 2:14 pm

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The government's most prominent voice on coronavirus is also the least trusted.


Apr 3, 10:56 am

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Data from Google and Bank of America show how the economy shut down in March, presaging today's still-preliminary jobs loss data.


Thursday

Apr 2, 5:36 pm

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Taking China's and Iran's figures at face value ‚Ä"¬†and acknowledging that the U.S. total is higher than reported ‚Ä"¬†Americans make up more than a fifth of reported global coronavirus infections.


Apr 2, 3:51 pm

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The extent to which stay-at-home orders spread in the U.S. ‚Ä" and the extent to which the virus did after the orders were in place.


Apr 2, 12:53 pm

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The most coronavirus cases are in New York City, one of the wealthiest places in the country. Within the city, though, poorer areas are more heavily affected.


Apr 2, 10:14 am

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On Monday, the White House released a projection indicating that daily deaths would peak on April 15. Those numbers have already been revised upward.


Wednesday

Apr 1, 4:28 pm

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A pandemic that’s particularly dangerous for older men. So: What if?


Apr 1, 2:22 pm

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After Trump finally recognized worst-case projections of coronavirus deaths in the U.S., Pence finally acknowledged that the U.S.'s path looks like Italy. Weirdly, though, it's meant to be optimistic.


Apr 1, 12:39 pm

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It was impressed upon me yesterday how few people realize how prevalent it is for people to spread the coronavirus without knowing it. So I made some maps.


Apr 1, 10:24 am

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Birx showed five graphs during Tuesday's briefing, graphs which may have convinced Trump of the need to continue recommendations that save millions of lives.

Here's what they showed and what they meant.


Tuesday

Mar 31, 5:35 pm

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I'm lukewarm on comparing covid-19 deaths to 9/11. But the rate of deaths at this point is over four times the average toll from car accidents and nearly twice the loss of life on the deadliest day of the Vietnam War.


Mar 31, 3:02 pm

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Attempts to blame the impeachment trial for fumbles in responding to coronavirus fall a bit short given 1) Trump hyping a meeting about it during the trial, 2) the three-week delay between the trial and Trump's first daily briefing and 3) other things.


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